Saturday, 19 September India Edition
The Pulse
← Back to feed
TopOngoing2 days ago

NSE IPO Looks Cheap at ₹1,785. Here's the Catch

India ka sabse bada exchange BSE se ~30% valuation discount offer kar raha hai, lekin apparent bargain ke saath derivatives ka problem bhi hai.

01 / Kya hua

Kya hua

NSE ne apna IPO ₹1,700-1,785 per share pe price kiya hai, subscription 17 September 2026 se khuljega, ₹22,569 crore OFS ke saath.

NSE ne apna IPO ₹1,700-1,785 per share pe price kiya hai, subscription 17 September 2026 se khuljega. Upper band pe, exchange — India ka sabse bada — peer BSE se lagbhag 30% sasta dikhta hai FY27 earnings estimates pe.

Gap derivatives ledger me hai. NSE ka equity options premium market me share FY24 ke nearly 97% se Q1FY27 me 68.5% gir gaya — SEBI ke single-weekly-expiry rule ne liquidity BSE ki taraf push kiya. Monthly derivatives turnover July 2026 ke ₹42.6 trillion se August 2026 me ₹33.5 trillion pe aa gaya — November 2023 ke baad sabse kam.

Colocation, data feeds aur index licensing se recurring revenue sirf 12% se kam hai, toh retail investors ka sawaal yeh hai ki apparent valuation discount kya ek structural earnings problem chhupa raha hai ya ek temporary dip.

IPO Price BandNSE IPO ka per-share price band, 17 September 2026 se subscription kholne se pehle set kiya gaya.
₹1,700-1,785
Total Issue SizePoori issue 12.64 crore existing NSE shares ka OFS hai; proceeds selling shareholders ko milenge, NSE ko nahi. India ka second-largest IPO.
₹22,569 crore
Valuation Gap vs BSEUpper price band pe NSE ~40.9x-42.9x FY26 EPS pe trade karta hai vs BSE ka 54.28x — FY27 earnings estimates pe ~30% sasta, jabki NSE BSE se 3x bada hai.
~30% cheaper
NSE Options Market ShareSEBI ke single-weekly-expiry rule ke baad NSE ka equity options premium share ~97% (FY24) se 68.5% (Q1FY27) gir gaya.
97% → 68.5%
Background

Valuation Paradox

NSE IPO ek classic valuation paradox dikhata hai: simultaneously recent memory ka sabse sasta large-cap financial listing (~30% below BSE) aur derivatives segment se sabse exposed — jo uski 60%+ revenue drive karta hai.

  • ₹1,785 upper band pe FY27 earnings estimates pe BSE se ~30% discount
  • Options transaction revenue 60%+ operating revenue ka hai
Timeline

CAS aur Derivatives Reset

SEBI ke regulatory timeline — late 2024 me single-weekly-expiry rule se lekar August 2026 me Closing Auction Session tak — ne progressively NSE ke derivatives franchise ko reshape kiya. August 2026 turnover drop ₹33.5 trillion November 2023 ke baad sabse tez monthly decline hai.

  • SEBI single-weekly-expiry rule (late 2024): options premium share BSE ki taraf shift hone shuru
  • SEBI CAS (August 2026): monthly derivatives turnover ₹42.6T → ₹33.5T pe gir gaya
02 / Kyun matter karta hai

Kyun matter karta hai

BSE se valuation discount kya structural problem chhupa raha ho sakta hai: NSE ka equity options premium market share 97% se 68.5% gir gaya hai SEBI regulatory changes ke baad, aur derivatives turnover ₹9.1 trillion kam hua hai month-over-month.

Money

Price-change · Direct · High

Retail Investors · Hnwis

NSE IPO FY27 earnings estimates pe BSE se ~30% sasta dikhta hai, lekin discount kya structural derivatives weakness reflect karta hai na genuine value.

Work · Daily Life

Opportunity · Indirect · Medium

Traders · Retail Investors

SEBI ke single-weekly-expiry rule aur CAS ne NSE ka options market share 97% se 68.5% aur derivatives turnover ₹9.1 trillion kam kiya hai, trading volumes aur brokerage economics pe asar padega.

Money

Financial-loss · Indirect · High

Hnwis · Retail Investors

NSE ke recurring-revenue businesses (colocation, data, index licensing) 18% annual growth me badh rahe hain lekin total revenue ka under 12% contribute karte hain, derivatives ke against buffer limited hai.

03 / Seedhi baat

Seedhi baat

Seedhi baat
NSE IPO paper pe sasta dikhta hai, lekin asli test yeh hai ki exchange derivatives headwinds ko apne abhi bhi chhote recurring-revenue businesses se offset kar sake ya nahi.

NSE IPO ₹1,785 pe BSE se 30% sasta dikhta hai, lekin catch ek derivatives share collapse hai — 97% se 68.5%. Yeh bargain hai ya trap?

Screenshot ya share kar lo

Verified sources (4)

Evidence behind the crack
Reporting/Mint (Livemint)

NSE IPO looks cheap at ₹1,785. Here's the catch

PrimaryPublished Sep 16, 2026Accessed Sep 16, 2026
Reporting/Mint (Livemint)

NSE IPO GMP Today: Latest grey market premium rates after band announcement

CorroboratingPublished Sep 16, 2026Accessed Sep 16, 2026
Reporting/Mid-Day

NSE's Rs 22,569 crore-IPO to open on September 17 for subscription; price band set at Rs 1,700-1,785 per share

CorroboratingPublished Sep 11, 2026Accessed Sep 16, 2026
Reporting/The Hindu

NSE set to raise ₹22,569 crore IPO from capital market

CorroboratingPublished Sep 16, 2026Accessed Sep 16, 2026

Claims and linked sources

6 claims
FactVerifiedHigh confidence

NSE ne apna IPO ₹1,700-1,785 per share pe price kiya hai, subscription 17 September 2026 se khuljega.

NumberVerifiedHigh confidence

₹1,785 pe NSE, BSE ke FY27 earnings estimates ke roughly 30% discount pe offer ho raha hai, aur ~40.9x-42.9x FY26 diluted EPS pe trade karta hai vs BSE ka 54.28x.

FactVerifiedHigh confidence

NSE ka equity options premium market me share 68.5% pe gir gaya (Q1FY27) FY24 ke ~97% se — jab SEBI ne har exchange ko ek hi weekly index expiry di.

Linked evidence
NumberVerifiedHigh confidence

SEBI ke naye CAS ke baad NSE ka monthly derivatives turnover ₹33.5 trillion pe gir gaya (August 2026) July ke ₹42.6 trillion se.

Linked evidence
NumberVerifiedHigh confidence

NSE ke colocation, connectivity, data feeds aur index licensing businesses ne FY26 me ₹1,956 crore kiya, lekin total revenue me 12% se kam contribute karte hain.

Linked evidence
NumberVerifiedHigh confidence

NSE IPO ka GMP 4 September ke ₹285 se gir kar mid-September me ₹160-207 tak aa gaya hai — upper price band pe 9-12% listing premium suggest karta hai.

Linked evidence

Log kya keh rahe hain

Signal-only · not reporting
Kush Gupta SKG Investmentsother

“The gap is not a genuine headroom (for an upside).”

Raj Gaikar SAMCO Securitiesother

“Regulation has reset this business, not ended it.”

Karthick Jonagadla smallcase / Quantace Researchother

“September volumes and Sebi's settlement-rule review will determine whether Q3 begins to normalize.”

Agli story3 min read

Meta ka Muse Mac pe aaya — ab AI aapke computer pe kaam kar sakti hai

Agli story padhein