Kya hua
15 September 2026 ko US 10-year yield 5% par pahunch gaya, October 2023 ke baad highest, jab Fed 15-16 September ko policy decide karega.
US ka 10-year Treasury yield 15 September 2026 ko 5% par pahunch gaya — October 2023 ke baad ka highest level — bilkul us time jab Fed 15-16 September ko rate decision lene wala hai.
2-year yield 4.666% aur 30-year yield 5.374% tak chadh gaya, poore bond market me selloff tez hua. Market ab ~90% chance de raha hai ki Fed 25 basis points rate hike karega, kyunki Chair Kevin Warsh inflation ko leke strict stance par hain.
Oil ne tension aur badha di — Brent 4% badh kar $108.65 aur WTI 3.75% badh kar $103.75 ho gaya, jab Saudi ne Iraq se drone attack ke baad apna 7 million bpd wala East-West pipeline band kiya aur Houthi ne Bab el-Mandeb me Perim Island par control le liya.
US yields badhne se global borrowing mehnga hota hai, stocks aur emerging markets par pressure aata hai. Treasury ke buyback operations ke baad bhi bond investors ka worry kam nahi hua hai, sabki nazar FOMC decision par hai.
Yield kaise badha
Oil shock se Fed repricing tak — is week ke main moves.
- Thu 11 Sep — Iraq se drone attack ke baad Saudi pipeline band.
- 13-14 Sep — Perim Island par Houthi control, Brent $108 ke paas.
- 15 Sep — 10Y 5%, 2Y 4.666%, 30Y 5.374%; Fed FOMC 15-16 Sep shuru.
Aage kya dekhein
16 September ko FOMC decision direction tay karega; oil supply aur Warsh ki guidance yields ke liye key rahegi.
Kyun matter karta hai
Yield badhne se duniya bhar me karz mehnga hoga, stocks aur emerging markets par dabav rahega jab tak Fed ka signal clear nahi hota.
Money
Investors · General Public
Treasury yield badhne se home loan aur corporate borrowing mehnga hota hai, EM flows par bhi pressure aata hai.
Work
Investors · Market Traders
Traders ko equity aur bond me volatility jhelna padega jab tak FOMC ka decision clear nahi hota.
Daily Life
General Public
Oil ke chalte inflation pressure se ghar ke fuel aur import kharch badhe rehte hain.
Seedhi baat
Bond market ka message clear hai — 90% bet hai ki Fed is week rate badhayega.
US 10Y yield 5% — 2023 ke baad highest. Oil $108, Fed hike chance 90%. FOMC isi week.
Verified sources (7)
10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2023 as US Federal Reserve decision looms
↗Bond market shock: 10-year US Treasury yield tops 5% as oil spike puts Federal Reserve on rate-hike path
↗Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5%
↗U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Breaks Above 5% as Fed Hike Bets Rise
↗Oil prices rise as Saudi pipeline outage, fresh attacks raise supply concerns
↗Oil rises after Saudi Arabia shuts down pipeline
↗Oil prices rise after drone attacks shut down Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline
↗Claims and linked sources
8 claimsThe US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5%, its highest level since October 2023, two days ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 policy decision.
The 2-year Treasury yield advanced more than two basis points to 4.666%, while the 30-year Treasury yield gained two basis points to 5.374%, both extending the selloff across the curve.
Traders are pricing in about a 90% chance of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, up from 88.9% per other market data.
Brent crude rose 4% to $108.65 a barrel and WTI gained 3.75% to $103.75 a barrel on the same session, fueling inflation worries.
Saudi Arabia shut its 7-million-barrels-per-day East-West pipeline on Thursday after drones launched from Iraq damaged it, threatening up to 4% of global oil supply.
Iranian-backed Houthi forces seized the strategic Perim Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and expanded control of the waterway, deepening supply disruption risk.
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's stated focus on price stability and inflation risk, without clear rate guidance, has led markets to price a hike this week.
The US Treasury Department's expanded buyback operations intended to stabilise the bond market have done little to ease concerns among bond investors.
Log kya keh rahe hain
Signal-only · not reporting“Warsh said he wanted to see inflation moving towards 2% 'clearly and at sufficient speed.'”
“We'll ultimately get out (of Iran), unless we decide to stay and keep the oil like Venezuela.”